---
title: Putinomics and Love Triangles Brief
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Team CORBU Advisory Clients: given the early results of the European elections -- and further evidence that Putin’s hybrid | **New Generation Warfare** strategy \[see **[here](https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Portals/7/online-publications/documents/RNGW-Unclassified-Summary-Report.pdf?ver=2020-03-25-122734-383)**\] is having some tactical and operational success -- will assign some homework voluntary “Sunday night reading” ahead of this weekend’s upcoming G7 Apulia Summit.

-Best. rja

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### **[VIEW IN MAGAZINE MODE](https://corbu.co/putinomics-and-love-triangles?hsLang=en)**

 

[![unnamed (2)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(2).jpg?width=750&height=735&name=unnamed%20(2).jpg)](https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Portals/7/online-publications/documents/RNGW-Unclassified-Summary-Report.pdf?ver=2020-03-25-122734-383)

[![unnamed (3)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(3).jpg?width=542&height=750&name=unnamed%20(3).jpg)](https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Portals/7/online-publications/documents/RNGW-Unclassified-Summary-Report.pdf?ver=2020-03-25-122734-383)

![unnamed (4)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(4).jpg?width=761&height=668&name=unnamed%20(4).jpg)

The required reading is Putin’s speech and subsequent Q&A session with Sergey **Karaganov** \[arguably the foremost Russian economic scholar in the post-Soviet era\] at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum \[**SPIEF**\] last week -- and which you can read [here](http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74234), very beautifully translated on the Kremlin’s English website.

 

![unnamed (5)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(5).jpg?width=779&height=1070&name=unnamed%20(5).jpg)

 

While not going into a deep dive of the SPIEF address -- will simply note that the slate of **Putin’s 10 economic priorities** were the following:

- **Trade** and market access
- Global **capital flows**
- **Labor** markets and inflation
- Raising **productivity**
- Technology and **dual-use** applications
- **Competition** policy in SMEs
- Domestic savings and **investment **balance
- Income transfers and **fiscal** space
- Immigration and offsetting population **growth decline**

eg, the very same program agenda one would find at any **official sector** gathering in US-NATO+ countries from Washington to Tokyo.

 

![unnamed (6)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(6).jpg?width=1089&height=792&name=unnamed%20(6).jpg)

**WHY AM I TELLING YOU TO READ THIS ?**

Besides the tradecraft of “**know thy adversary**” -- it’s for 3 reasons:

**#1:** Contrary to conventional wisdom, *Putin spends* the majority of his public address time on matters of **economics and markets** -- and relatively less on the more headline-grabbing psy-ops of security | military | or nuclear issues

\[**sidebar**: some “free IP” for our defense and markets clients who are “fine-tuning” AI-driven **predictive models** of Putin’s next steps -- training on just the corpus of Putin’s **SPIEF** and **Valdai** Club speeches is really the best place to start\]

**#2:** The US Biden Admin is very clearly wielding **economic warfare** against the Axis of Adversaries -- eg, see POTUS’ recent Time Magazine interview transcript **[here](https://time.com/6984968/joe-biden-transcript-2024-interview/)**, where he notes things like:

\[**sidebar**: the latter is a big delta and campaign signal from POTUS -- market participants should expect more of this “**Chinese xenophobia**” theme into US election season\]

**#3:** Even China central bank officials acknowledge all this economic warfare -- see **PBoC** monetary policy committee member HUANG Haizhou’s remarks \[on WeChat **[here](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ugwYr2clmZBpwtNxsrAF2Q?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email)**\] at a recent Tsinghua University conference, noting that:

![unnamed (7)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(7).jpg?width=951&height=727&name=unnamed%20(7).jpg)

![unnamed (8)](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed%20(8).jpg?width=628&height=1000&name=unnamed%20(8).jpg)

Will quickly close by noting that during the last XJP-Putin bilateral in Beijing -- Putin gifted the Chinese leader a copy of his purportedly favorite novel \[see **[here](https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/kremlin-says-preparations-for-putins-visit-to-china-entered-final-stage/3203313)** and **[here](https://english.news.cn/20240423/ceb161b1645f4f6f9cf698ec000a305d/c.html) **-- note the dates, too\] ***What is to be Done ?*** by Nikolay Chernyshevsky -- a Russian Imperialist-era story about a woman named Vera, who was in a **love triangle**, and:

- Sought “**economic independence**” from the shackles of an arranged marriage
- **Secretly eloped** with, Dmitry, an older and then-married man -- to create a new commune of feminist socialist laborers
- And whose story culminated in a **four-some** -- where both Vera and Dmitry eventually found new \[younger\] loves -- and lived happily ever after *all under the same roof* \[LOL !\]

If you don’t “get it” by now, you’re not **paying enough attention**.

 

![unnamed](https://corbu.co/hs-fs/hubfs/unnamed.png?width=1322&height=1270&name=unnamed.png)

 

\[**sidebar**: the above Putin-Karaganov excerpt is a very illuminating and **important exchange** -- further revealing that the Russian side does indeed view themselves as the “**big brother**” of “little brother” China…\]

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